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☆ US inflation will soar if America doesn't undergo reindustrialization, investment manager says
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-07 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Prices in the US could keep going up if the US doesn't "reindustrialize" its economy, Richard Bernstein said. The US has a "massive" trade deficit at a time when world trade is becoming fragmented, he noted. AdvertisementInflation will climb higher if the US economy doesn't reindustrialize its economy, according to investment manager Richard Bernstein. World trade has become more fragmented since the pandemic, and rising geopolitical tensions are a sign that the trend is continuing, he said. If it doesn't … we're going to have tremendous inflation here in the United States," Bernstein said to CNBC on Monday.

Persons: Richard Bernstein, —, Bernstein, Ken Griffin Organizations: US, Service, Commerce Department, CNBC, JPMorgan Locations: United States, America

☆ Watch CNBC’s full interview with Citadel CEO Ken Griffin
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-06 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWatch CNBC’s full interview with Citadel CEO Ken GriffinCitadel CEO Ken Griffin joins 'Power Lunch' to discuss inflation, deglobalization, and the markets.

Persons: Ken Griffin Organizations: Citadel

☆ Citadel CEO Ken Griffin: The Fed is making the right choice, higher for longer
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-06 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailCitadel CEO Ken Griffin: The Fed is making the right choice, higher for longerCNBC’s Sara Eisen with Ken Griffin, Citadel CEO, joins 'Power Lunch' to discuss inflation, deglobalization and the markets.

Persons: Ken Griffin, Sara Eisen Organizations: Email, Citadel

☆ Nvidia is in a bubble, stocks will disappoint for a decade, and a recession will strike this year, markets guru warns
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-12 | by ( Theron Mohamed | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

Nvidia is in a bubble, stocks will falter, and a recession will hit this year, Jesse Felder said. The markets guru said the microchip frenzy would fade, and stock-market returns would drop off. NEW LOOK Sign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . AdvertisementNvidia hype is a bubble that will burst, stocks will disappoint for the next decade or longer, and a recession will strike this year, Jesse Felder said.

Persons: Jesse Felder, —, outsize, Felder, Jeff Bezos, Meta's Mark Zuckerberg, Jamie Dimon Organizations: Nvidia, Service, Micron

☆ US reindustrialization will be the top investment theme of coming decades, RBA says
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-23 | by ( Yuheng Zhan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

The "US industrial renaissance" will be the top investment theme of the coming decade, Richard Bernstein Advisors said. The trend of American companies shifting away from dependence on foreign labor and supply chains should dominate investment strategies in the coming decades the firm said. "The market is already rewarding the beneficiaries of this capital reallocation, but we expect years, if not decades, of further performance from this critical investment theme," RBA president Richard Bernstein said in a note this week. For the US, that means big investment in infrastructure on manufacturing will be needed in the coming years as the world reorients. "The market has already recognized the re-industrialization investment theme despite investors' myopia with respect to more exciting technology-related themes, like artificial intelligence.

Persons: Richard Bernstein, Overreliance, Bernstein, — Organizations: Richard Bernstein Advisors, Service, Republicans Locations: America

☆ Citadel's Ken Griffin says the Fed shouldn't cut too quickly, citing big tailwinds supporting inflation
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-12 | by ( Yun Li | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Ken Griffin, Citadel founder and CEO, thinks the Federal Reserve should move slowly to cut interest rates in its fight against stubborn inflation. "If I'm them, I don't want to cut too quickly," Griffin said at the International Futures Industry conference in Boca Raton, Florida on Tuesday. "The worst thing they could end up doing is cutting, pausing and then changing direction back towards higher rates quickly. So we've got two big, big tailwinds that continue to support the inflation narrative," Griffin said. While the inflation rate is well off its mid-2022 peak, it still remains well above the Fed's 2% goal.

Persons: Ken Griffin, Griffin, we've Organizations: Citadel, Reserve, International Futures Industry, Boca, Fed Locations: Boca Raton , Florida, multistrategy Wellington

☆ US CEOs say they are feeling optimistic about the economy for the first time in 2 years
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-08 | by ( Yuheng Zhan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

American CEOs are finally feeling more upbeat about the US economy, with the mood turning more positive for the first time in two years. Notably, the latest survey marks the first time the gauge has returned a positive reading since the first quarter of 2022. More CEOs also say they expect to expand their workforce in the next 12 months. Additionally, the percentage of leaders holding a bleak outlook for the economy dropped from 47% to just 27%. A resolution to the current military conflicts, AI advancements, and potential rate cuts were listed as the biggest potential positive developments for global business in 2024.

Persons: Roger W, Ferguson, Jr, Major Organizations: Business, Conference, Federal Reserve Locations: Israel, Ukraine, Russia, China

☆ Canada's Brookfield raises record $28 billion for infrastructure fund
▼ + stars: | 2023-12-01 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

Dec 1 (Reuters) - Canada's Brookfield Asset Management (BAM.TO) said on Friday it had raised $28 billion for its largest-ever fund, wagering on infrastructure assets the company believes would benefit from a shift to "deglobalization", given recent geopolitical tensions. Brookfield said the fund has already deployed 40% of its capital in six investments including renewable, transport, data center and telecom tower assets. The company, which manages over $850 billion in assets, said it had also raised $2 billion for related co-investment vehicles. Besides "deglobalization", Brookfield's latest fund will also focus on infrastructure assets tied to digitalization and decarbonization, the company said. The company had raised $20 billion for its previous global infrastructure fund in 2020.

Persons: Brookfield, Niket, Pooja Desai Organizations: Brookfield Asset Management, Thomson Locations: Brookfield, Ukraine, Bengaluru

☆ The market 'bloodbath is likely to continue' with investors set to lose tens of trillions over next decade, Nouriel Roubini says
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-27 | by ( Filip De Mott | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

Nouriel Roubini cautioned markets to prepare for persistently higher inflation rates. NEW LOOK Sign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. And efforts to reduce inflation through higher interest rates risk causing a recession among highly-leveraged borrowers, something governments want to avoid. AdvertisementFaced with this, central banks could raise inflation targets above historical averages, as signaled by the fact that many are pausing rate hikes despite still too-high core inflation, Roubini said. To deal with this situation, Roubini noted that some countries will simply allow higher inflation to erode nominal debt.

Persons: Nouriel, Roubini, —, Doom Organizations: Service

☆ ECB's Lagarde: Increasing signs that the global economy is fragmenting into competing blocs
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-17 | by ( Matt Clinch | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde looks on as she attends the European Parliament's Committee on Economic and Monetary Affairs, at the European Parliament, in Brussels, Belgium September 25, 2023. Yves Herman | ReutersEuropean Central Bank President Christine Lagarde on Friday said that Europe is now at a critical juncture, with deglobalization, demographics and decarbonization looming on the horizon. "There are increasing signs that the global economy is fragmenting into competing blocs," she said at the European Banking Congress, according to a transcript. "As our societies age, we will need to deploy new technologies so that we can produce greater output with fewer workers. And as our climate warms, we will need to advance the green transition without any further delays."

Persons: Christine Lagarde, Yves Herman, Lagarde Organizations: European Central Bank, European Parliament's, Economic, Monetary Affairs, Reuters, Central Bank, European Banking Congress Locations: Brussels, Belgium, Europe

☆ China versus India: The pros explain why they prefer one — and share their stock picks
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-10 | by ( Weizhen Tan | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

Which economic giant should emerging markets investors go for: China or India? India is the "best structural growth opportunity" in emerging markets, according to Malcolm Dorson, head of emerging markets strategy at Global X ETFs. LPL Financial's chief technical strategist, Adam Turnquist, added that India has emerged as an increasingly attractive alternative to China. Where and how to invest in India Investors could go for the "booming areas" in India — renewables such as hydrogen and solar energy, as well as agricultural tech, according to Sharma. But both Krosby and Dorson would advocate active management in emerging markets such as India, given political and economic complexities, among other reasons.

Persons: Malcolm Dorson, Morgan Stanley, Dorson, Quincy Krosby, Krosby, LPL, Adam Turnquist, Alejandra Grindal, Ned Davis, Rahul Sen Sharma, Sharma, Morningstar Organizations: Shenzhen Component, CNBC, Global, Chinese Communist Party, LPL, Ned, Ned Davis Research, India Investors, India, Hindustan Unilever, Nestle India, Jewelry, India Active Locations: China, India, Shenzhen, Asia, Beijing

☆ Bitcoin is back (sort of)
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-10 | by ( Dan Defrancesco | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +8 min

The big storyCrypto comebackSOPA Images / GettyThe ink is barely dry on Sam Bankman-Fried's conviction, and bitcoin is already rising like a fresh divorcee. It marked the highest price for the cryptocurrency since early May 2022, adding to what has quietly been a strong year for bitcoin, writes Insider's Phil Rosen. After a dreadful 2022 culminating in the downfall of FTX and the aforementioned SBF, bitcoin has been on the up. While there was plenty of fallout from FTX's bankruptcy, the price of bitcoin has steadily climbed this year. The Insider Today team: Dan DeFrancesco, senior editor and anchor, in New York City.

Persons: —, NYU Langone, Sam Bankman, Bitcoin, bitcoin, Phil Rosen, FTX, hasn't, It's, Roubini, Doom, Noah Sheildlower, Gary Gensler, it's, Ken Griffin, Goldman Sachs, Paul Sakuma Andreessen Horowitz, Maryna, Peter Thiel, Trump, couldn't, Thiel, he's, Diplo —, Dan DeFrancesco, Naga Siu, Hallam Bullock, Lisa Ryan Organizations: Service, NYU, BlackRock, Atlas, SEC, JPMorgan, Hudson Global, Today Locations: Delaware, India, Japan, Soho, New York City, San Diego, London, New York

☆ High inflation may linger for decades with wars set to usher in an era of deglobalization, billionaire investor Ken Griffin says
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-09 | by ( George Glover | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

High inflation could hang around for decades, according to Ken Griffin. The billionaire investor believes the pandemic and conflicts will usher in an era of deglobalization. The Federal Reserve will likely have to keep interest rates high to suppress soaring prices, he added. AdvertisementAdvertisementInflation soared across much of the developed world last year, prompting central banks to start raising interest rates in a bid to tame soaring prices. Griffin predicted that higher interest rates will now become the norm, with policymakers forced to keep borrowing costs elevated to maintain their target inflation rate of about 2%.

Persons: Ken Griffin, —, Griffin Organizations: Federal Reserve, Service, Citadel, Bloomberg, Economy, Federal Locations: Europe, deglobalization, Singapore, Ukraine

Based on International Monetary Fund data on comparative international investment positions through the early part of this year, U.S. portfolio investment overseas - equity, fund shares and debt securities - stood at more than $14.5 trillion. US funds shy of overseas equityUS economic growth roaring at more than 5%US expensive for a reason? The upshot could be an ever wider U.S. deficit on its net international investment position - potentially lifting the dollar as that inflates, but leaving it vulnerable to the yawning gap and foreign investor sentiment down the road. IMF chart on US net international investment deficitUS stocks lead the packThe opinions expressed here are those of the author, a columnist for ReutersEditing by Josie KaoOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles. They do not reflect the views of Reuters News, which, under the Trust Principles, is committed to integrity, independence, and freedom from bias.

Persons: Brendan McDermid, that's, it's, Julius Baer's, Yves Bonzon, Josie Kao Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Atlanta Federal, Monetary, ICI, Thomson, Reuters Locations: New York City, U.S, China, Gaza, Russia, Ukraine, Moscow, Washington, Taiwan, United States, Swiss, Switzerland, Germany

☆ Israel-Hamas war risks further deglobalization and inflation
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-15 | by ( Bryan Mena | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +8 min

Washington, DC CNN —The global economy is facing tremendous uncertainty from the war between Hamas and Israel in the Middle East, on top of the ongoing war between Russia and Ukraine. They say Israel’s declaration of war against Hamas could be yet another catalyst for deglobalization, though the extent of that is still up in the air. If deglobalization does get exacerbated, what would that mean for inflation and monetary policy, globally? With deglobalization, you get a global economic environment that’s less competitive, and when there’s less competition, that is ultimately inflationary, causing prices to rise. Over the Covid era, China shut down production, disrupting the global supply chain, so deglobalization would bring some production back within US borders.

Persons: Wells, Bell, Brendan McKenna, that’s, Trump, there’s, Hanna Ziady, we’ve, ”, Avi Hasson, Patrick Harker, John Williams, Tom Barkin, Michelle Bowman, Tesla, Christopher Waller, Lisa Cook, Jerome Powell, Austan Goolsbee, Michael Barr, Raphael Bostic, Loretta Mester Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, DC CNN, Trump, Hamas, Nation Central, Philadelphia Fed, US Commerce Department, Federal Reserve, National Association of Home Builders, China’s National Bureau of Statistics, Procter & Gamble, United Kingdom’s, National Statistics, American Airlines, US Labor Department, Federal, Fed Locations: Washington, Israel, Russia, Ukraine, China, Wells Fargo, Gaza, deglobalization, United States, Mexico, US, Tel Aviv, New York

☆ Market strategist cautions that war is inflationary, says buy energy and defense stocks
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-09 | by ( Lisa Kailai Han | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

The war in the Middle East could lead to higher inflation for longer as it puts upward pressure on oil prices, according to Strategas' Jason Trennert. On Saturday, militant group Hamas attacked Israel, leading to the deadliest offensive attack Israel has experienced in 50 years . Oil prices spiked following the attack, with Brent crude futures rising nearly 4% to $87.94 a barrel. "There is likely to be natural tendency to buy Treasurys and the U.S. dollar, but wars are generally inflationary." Rising oil prices could put even more pressure on inflation.

Persons: Strategas, Jason Trennert, Israel, —, Trennert, Hess, Northrop Grumman, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Brent, . West Texas, U.S ., Federal Reserve, Energy, Halliburton, CF Industries, L3Harris Technologies, General Dynamics Locations: Israel

☆ Cash is king when interest rates are going up, says Lido Advisors' Gina Sanchez
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-04 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailCash is king when interest rates are going up, says Lido Advisors' Gina SanchezGina Sanchez, Lido Advisors chief market strategist, joins 'The Exchange' to discuss deglobalization driving up inflation, Ford under pressure due to union strike and its high debt load, and more.

Persons: Cash, Gina Sanchez Gina Sanchez Organizations: Lido Advisors, Ford

☆ Be careful of companies like Ford that have debt coming due, says Lido Advisors' Gina Sanchez
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-04 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailBe careful of companies like Ford that have debt coming due, says Lido Advisors' Gina SanchezGina Sanchez, Lido Advisors' chief market strategist, joins 'The Exchange' to discuss deglobalization driving up inflation, Ford under pressure due to union strike and its high debt load, and Petco's profitability under pressure.

Persons: Gina Sanchez Gina Sanchez Organizations: Advisors, Ford

"It's not going to be a matter of struggling to get the inflation rate higher. While higher interest rates are good news for savers, businesses and consumers have become used to paying nothing for money over the past 15 years. Reuters GraphicsREADING YIELDSA market-based Fed model that breaks down the 10-year Treasury yield into its components provides further insight into investors' thinking. This rise in term premium, which spent much of the last decade below zero, reflects high levels of uncertainty about economic outlook and monetary policy, investors said. While the market appears to be confident in its belief in the end of the era of zero interest rates, it is far less so about the economy's actual likely path.

Persons: Sarah Silbiger, Greg Whiteley, It's, Neel Kashkari, Kashkari, Adrian, Crump, Emanuel Moench, John Velis, Leslie Falconio, BNY's Velis, Velis, Paritosh Bansal, Anna Driver 私 Organizations: Eccles Federal Reserve, Washington , D.C, REUTERS, Treasury, Federal Reserve, York Fed, Minneapolis, Moench, Frankfurt School of Finance, Management, Americas, BNY Mellon, UBS Global Wealth Management, San, San Francisco Fed Locations: Washington ,, U.S, DoubleLine, San Francisco

☆ Lazard's Raymond McGuire: Deglobalization will be the reindustrialization of America
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-28 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailLazard's Raymond McGuire: Deglobalization will be the reindustrialization of AmericaRaymond McGuire, Lazard president, and Dina Powell McCormick, BDT & MSD Partners vice chairman, join CNBC's Delivering Alpha 2023 to discuss geopolitics in relation to energy and entrepreneurship, U.S.-China industrial relations and more.

Persons: Lazard's Raymond McGuire, Deglobalization, Raymond McGuire, Lazard, Dina Powell McCormick Organizations: BDT, MSD Partners, CNBC's Locations: China

☆ Talk of deglobalization is exaggerated, says WTO's chief economist
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-13 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailTalk of deglobalization is exaggerated, says WTO's chief economistRalph Ossa, chief economist of the World Trade Organization, discusses rising trade tensions between major economies.

Persons: Ralph Ossa Organizations: World Trade Organization

It is not even certain that the decline in China's U.S. import share represents a true delinking, they said. Yet in the background, the researchers noted that China had "stepped up" its trade and investment activity with Vietnam and Mexico, as well as other countries. "The U.S. could well remain indirectly connected to China through its trade and global value chain links with these third-party countries," they argued. Prices for goods from some countries, moreover, were beginning to rise. Reporting by Howard Schneider; Editing by Paul SimaoOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

Persons: JACKSON, deglobalization, Laura Alfaro, Davin Chor, Alfaro, Chor, What's, Howard Schneider, Paul Simao Organizations: Biden, Trump, Federal, Harvard Business School, Tuck School of Business, Dartmouth, Fed, Thomson Locations: , Wyoming, China, Ukraine, freefall, Jackson Hole , Wyoming, U.S, Vietnam, Mexico

☆ Geopolitical risks are a top global threat to businesses, survey finds
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-03 | by ( Sumathi Bala | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

Around 36% of businesses polled view geopolitical tensions as top risks currently — such as those related to issues over Taiwan, South Korea, and Russia-NATO. The latest third quarter 2023 Global Risk Survey covered 127 businesses from July 6-27 this year. Risks aheadGeopolitical risks continue to factor prominently for businesses as a major concern for the next five years. "As reported last quarter, more than three-fifths of respondents view geopolitical risks as a very significant risk to the global economy over the medium term," said Thompson. "An intensification of geopolitical tensions could potentially trigger significant deglobalization of trade and the financial system," he added.

Persons: Fred DUFOUR, FRED DUFOUR, Fred Dufour, Jamie Thompson, Fitch, Biden, Vladimir Putin, Thompson, Kevin O'Leary Organizations: Getty, Afp, Oxford Economics, Fitch downgrades, UBS, NATO, U.S, Reuters, Atlantic Treaty Organization, . Federal, Silicon Valley Bank, Signature Bank Locations: Beijing, Taiwan, South Korea, Russia, Washington, U.S, China, it's, Ukraine, Republic, Silicon

☆ How AI’s astonishing productivity gains could help curb inflation
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-12 | by ( Hanna Ziady | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +7 min

Experts say the technology will help address a steep and prolonged slowdown in productivity growth in many Western economies, which has kept businesses’ costs higher than they would otherwise be and made inflation harder to tame. “AI has huge potential to increase productivity,” BlackRock CEO Larry Fink said at the company’s Investor Day last month. Productivity gains in Europe could be similar, albeit slightly smaller, Brynjolfsson told CNN. In some cases, productivity gains could be achieved sooner. That’s because most generative AI tools live on the internet — “the technology we already have on our desks” — making them widely accessible, Brynjolfsson said.

Persons: chatbot, —, Smart, Hannes P Albert, Bill Gates, Larry Fink, Erik Brynjolfsson, ” David McMillan, ” McMillan, Hollie Adams, Neil Shearing, Martin Neil Baily, Anton Korinek, Brynjolfsson, Goldman Sachs, ” Organizations: London CNN, Microsoft, BlackRock, CNN, Stanford University, Organisation for Economic Cooperation, Development, OECD, University of Stirling, Bloomberg, Getty, “, National Statistics, IBM, Capital, Brookings Institute, University of Virginia’s Darden School of Business, America, Productivity, Google, SAP, Goldman Locations: East, Scotland, London, United Kingdom, United States, Europe, Wimbledon

☆ Mexico replaced China as America's top trade buddy — and it shows how the global economy is rapidly transforming
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-12 | by ( Cork Gaines | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

Trade between the US and Mexico reached $263 billion during the first four months of this year. That pushed Mexico past China and Canada as the top trade partner since the start of the pandemic. China was the top partner for much of the 2010s and again at the start of the pandemic. Trade with Mexico accounted for 15.4% of all the goods exported and imported by the US, just ahead of America's trade totals with Canada (15.2%) and China (12.0%). Trucks carrying shipping containers line up as they are flagged for a secondary inspections at the Port of Manzanillo, Mexico.

Persons: Luis Torres, Donald Trump's, Torres, Nearshoring, Peter S, Goodman, Michael Burns, Salwan Georges, Shannon O'Neil's, Greg Rosalsky, O'Neil, Joe Biden, Antony Blinken, Xi Jinping, Janet Yellen, Xi, Yellen Organizations: Service, Federal Reserve Bank of, Canada, Dallas Fed, New York Times, Walmart, Murray Hill Group, Trucks, Washington, Getty, NPR Locations: Mexico, China, Canada, Wall, Silicon, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, Pacific, Port, Manzanillo, USA, United States

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